Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 29

Data Skrive

The New York Yankees and Ben Rice ready for the first of a three-game series against Ryan O’Hearn and the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The favored Yankees have -154 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Orioles, who are listed at +129. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 9.5 runs for this game (with -105 odds to go over and -115 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, April 29, 2025 at 6:35 p.m. ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
How to watch on TV: MASN and YES

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Yankees -154 +129 9.5 -105 -115 -1.5 +105 -125

Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Orioles 4
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Yankees 55%, Orioles 45%

Yankees vs. Orioles Betting Insights

This season, the Yankees have been favored 22 times and won 15, or 68.2%, of those games.
New York has a record of 8-2 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -154 on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
The Orioles have won in five, or 41.7%, of the 12 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Baltimore has played as an underdog of +129 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and finished 5-2 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Yankees combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total three times.
The Yankees are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 6-4 Runs Per Game 4.8 HR 12 ERA 2.76 K/9 7.3

Yankees Player Insights

Aaron Judge has a team-high batting average of .406, and leads the Yankees in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (27).
Including all MLB hitters, Judge is first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
Judge carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .400 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, five walks and six RBI.
Ben Rice has four doubles, a triple, six home runs and 13 walks while batting .259.
Rice ranks 24th in home runs and 117th in RBI on the season.
Jasrado Hermis Arrington (Coakley) Chisholm has two doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks while batting .178.
Chisholm has at least one base hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with seven walks and three RBI.
Anthony Volpe is hitting .228 with seven doubles, five home runs and 13 walks.
Volpe has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
The Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Orioles have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 3-7 Runs Per Game 3.0 HR 13 ERA 6.99 K/9 7.2

Orioles Player Insights

Cedric Mullins leads the lineup with a batting average of .279, and leads the Orioles in home runs, with six and runs batted in with 20.
In all of the big leagues, Mullins ranks 24th in home runs and 15th in RBI.
Ryan O’Hearn is batting .303 with three doubles, four home runs and seven walks.
Among all major league hitters, O’Hearn is 57th in home runs and 178th in RBI.
Adley Rutschman is batting .209 with two doubles, four home runs and 14 walks.
Jordan Westburg has two doubles, a triple, four home runs and five walks while batting .217.