Wall Street still bullish as stocks slide on weak jobs data

Stocks are sinking and the VIX, a measure of volatility, is spiking, off the back of weak jobs data and new tariffs. Yet Wall Street is still bullish.

Why it matters: Strategists who spoke with Axios believe the long-term upside for the stock market outweighs any near-term weakness and suggest buying dips, especially in tech.

What they’re saying: “The April tariff-driven pullback serves as a reminder to avoid overreacting,” Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer and chief market strategist at Truist, wrote in a note to clients.

  • “The dominant bull market theme – artificial intelligence and technology – remains intact, with earnings in those sectors still strong,” he added.
  • The pullback comes amid increasing calls that valuations are stretched and stocks have gotten overvalued.

Driving the news: The market is capping off the week with two major headwinds.

  • A weaker-than-expected jobs report coupled with eye-popping revisions indicate cracks in the labor market, to say the least.
  • The Trump administration released a new slate of tariffs on dozens of nations.
  • Stocks were already down. Then the labor data crossed.

Zoom out: It’s not just the labor market and tariffs plaguing investors – it’s also the time of year.

  • August and September are seasonally weak months for financial markets.
  • That choppiness was overwhelmingly anticipated by Wall Street.

Yes, but: This “soft patch” will not derail the bull market, thanks to a slew of catalysts, says Jeff Mills, chief investment officer at Bessemer Trust.

  • “We’re on the precipice of a fairly large boom in capital spending,” he says.
  • Capex is still expanding especially amongst the AI names, which could fuel further economic growth and earnings growth.

The intrigue: Despite the selloff, large-cap tech may still offer safety as these stocks lead in earnings growth, free cash flow, and are “insulated” from typical business cycle swings, Mills tells Axios.

  • “When there’s a drought, people will pay more for water and when growth slows, people pay more for growth, and [tech] is where the growth is,” he notes.
  • Amid the risk-off trade Friday, the Magnificent 7 names were all under pressure even after a record breaking week of earnings from four members of the group.

The bottom line: Remember that volatility is part of the game for investing.

  • “There was some complacency,” said Joe Mazzola, Charles Schwab’s head trading and derivatives strategist.
  • Given the uncertainty, Wall Street is looking ahead to 2026 in lieu of focusing on near-term volatility.

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