July 7 – TRADING DAY
Making sense of the forces driving global markets
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By Alden Bentley, Editor in Charge, Americas Finance and Markets
Jamie is enjoying some well-deserved time off, but the Reuters markets team will still keep you up to date on what moved markets today and we’ll take a close look at how markets are digesting the latest U.S. tariff headlines and how they reacted to Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s move to reclaim political influence. I’d love to hear from you so please feel free to reach out at [email protected]
Today’s Key Market Moves
- US stocks fell on nervousness about Wednesday’s tariff deadline, while Tesla tumbled after Elon Musk unveiled a new political party
- Treasury yields rose as trade talks dragged on and investors prepared for auctions this week
- The U.S. dollar firmed
- Crude oil prices rose despite OPEC plan to increase supply in August
- Gold weakened on the back of the firmer dollar
Today’s key reads
Tariff headlines and moving deadlines
Wall Street paused its bull run to start Monday on the back foot bracing for a barrage of tariff headlines before Wednesday, which U.S. President Donald Trump set as the expiration of a postponement he declared in the wake of the April 2 “Liberation Day” meltdown.
While last week’s record highs for the S&P 500 (.SPX)
, opens new tab and Nasdaq (.IXIC)
, opens new tab suggest that markets are learning to take the White House’s fluid trade tactics in stride, they did pull back even more at midday after Trump said that from August 1 he will impose 25% tariffs on Japan and South Korea, two of the U.S.’s most stalwart trade allies who have yet to reach trade deals with Trump. Trump has promised to notify countries that haven’t reached deals by the July 9 deadline of what their new tariffs will be as of August 1, which now becomes the next big calendar notation for investors. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said more trade announcements were likely by Wednesday.
Monday’s pullback aside, the stock market has more than recovered from the April panic, riding out numerous other potential major risks, from Trump’s threats to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, to the U.S. bombing of Iran nuclear sites to last week’s passage of the “Big Beautiful Bill” that economists predict will add trillions to the U.S. debt, any tariff revenue notwithstanding. Only the dollar remains deep underwater. Although it bounced nicely on Monday, it is off 7% against the euro since April 2, and the broader dollar index is down about 6%, while the S&P 500 is up 9.5%. The 10-year Treasury note’s benchmark yield is only about 20 basis points higher than its April 2 close, having weathered global concern that the U.S. was no longer a safe place to be invested.
Tariffs unlikely to make a big dent in federal deficit
Cumulative percent change year-to-date in foreign currency value against the US dollar
Speaking of the “big beautiful” tax bill, Tesla CEO and former-Trump-ally- turned enemy Elon Musk declared it would bankrupt America and announced the formation of a third U.S. political party, the America Party. Investors immediately tanked Tesla shares, which also weighed on Wall Street, recalling how his stint running Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency was a costly distraction from the business of making electric vehicles and rockets.
Tesla CEO Musk’s new political party casts shadow over stock
What could move markets tomorrow?
- No major U.S. data, Fed speakers or other events
Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles
, opens new tab, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
