New York Yankees at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

The New York Yankees (60-53) and the Texas Rangers (59-55) play the second game of a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Globe Life Field in Arlington is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 3-1

The Rangers stunned the Yankees 8-5 in 10 innings in Monday’s series opener, cashing as +126 underdogs with the Over (7.5) hitting. With 2 outs in the 10th, DH Josh Jung belted a 3-run homer after New York intentionally walked CF Wyatt Langford. Texas had just a 10.3% win probability, per ESPN Analytics, when it trailed 5-4 with 1 out in the ninth. But Joc Pederson’s pinch-hit solo shot tied it and forced extras.

Yankees 1B Paul Goldschmidt opened the scoring with a leadoff homer, and DH Giancarlo Stanton added a 2-run blast in the fourth. New York has dropped 4 straight, but AL MVP favorite Aaron Judge (-200 at BetMGM Sportsbook) is expected back in the lineup Tuesday.

Yankees at Rangers projected starters

RHP Will Warren vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi

Expert MLB daily picks: Unique MLB betting insights only at USA TODAY

Warren (6-5, 4.64 ERA) makes his 24th start. The rookie has a 1.43 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 110 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-4 home victory in 11 innings vs. Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
  • 2025 vs. Rangers: 1 home start (May 20), win, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 5-2 victory

Eovaldi (9-3, 1.49 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 0.89 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 103 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 6-3 victory at Los Angeles Angels Wednesday
  • 2025 vs. Yankees: 1 road start (May 22), loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1-0 setback

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Yankees at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Rangers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-190) | Rangers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Yankees at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

Eovaldi was dominant in July, going 5-0 with a 0.59 ERA over 5 starts. Warren, meanwhile, went 1-1 with a 5.34 ERA in 6 outings. Both clubs have lost 5 of their last 8 games, but Texas has shown signs of life with wins in 2 of its last 3 contests, while New York has dropped 4 straight.

BET RANGERS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

The straddle is too high in this market.

PASS on the run line.

Over/Under

Texas has scored at least 5 runs in 9 of its last 14 games, going 10-3-1 to the Over in that stretch. New York has done the same in 5 of its past 7 games, hitting the Over 5 times (5-1-1). Eovaldi has been lights-out, yielding just 2 ER over his last 5 starts, yet the Over still cashed in 3 of those games thanks to the Rangers providing him at least 5 runs of support each time.

BET OVER 8 (-120).

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