Fantasy Baseball Daily Hitting Recap: 4/26/25

It’s a shame Eugenio Suárez can’t face off against Braves pitcher Grant Holmes every night. Suarez hit a home run in each of his first three at-bats against Holmes, then added a fourth home run off Braves closer Raisel Iglesias to tie the game 7-7 in the ninth inning, becoming the 19th MLB player in history to have a four-homer game. Suarez’s heroics weren’t enough to give the Diamondbacks the win, with Atlanta beating Arizona 8-7 in 10 innings. Suarez’s final line was 4-4, 4 HR, 4 R, 5 RBI.

At this point in his career, fantasy managers know who Suarez is: a power-first bat who runs hot and cold at the plate, emphasis on the cold. Suarez’s power comes in bunches. This was his third three-home run game of his career before he crushed his historic fourth HR. Suarez had a hot finish to 2024, which continued into 2025 with five home runs in his first five games, but he has been stone-cold at the plate lately, batting .136 over his last 75 PAs before today’s game. Before tonight’s game, he hit only one homer over his last 21 games.

Suarez’s Hard-Hit rate (56.7%, up from 42.4% in 2024) and Average Exit Velocity (93.7 mph, up from 89.1 mph in 2024) are both career highs and in the top 10% of the league after Saturday’s game, but his Process+ below paints the picture of his power’s erratic journey through the month of April leading up to his four-homer game.

I honestly can’t fathom how managers in weekly leagues can roster and start a player with Suarez’s profile. Yes, the boom weeks will single-handedly earn you the victory, but all those bust weeks will destroy your ratios matchup after matchup and frustrate you to no end. His up-and-down profile works much better in deeper Roto leagues. Still, as mentioned above, he hits homers in bunches, so it’s probably wise to get him in your lineup next week. Don’t forget to cut bait as soon as his next cold streak hits.

Let’s see how the other hitters did Saturday:

Austin Hays (CIN): 2-4, 2 HR, 2 R, 2 RBI, BB.

29-year-old Austin Hays is having a tremendous start to his Cincinnati Reds career. Hays is hitting .386/.449/.773 since making his season debut on April 15, crushing his fourth and fifth home runs in Saturday’s game at Coors against the Rockies. Hitting clean-up every day, Hays’ Statcast numbers are still not qualified, but many would be in the top 10% in the league, including xwOBA, xAVG, xSLG, and Barrel%. He is currently 12th overall in Pitcher List’s Process+ leaderboard. Those lucky enough to have grabbed Hays off the waiver wire might have a league-winner on their rosters.

Jorge Polanco (SEA): 2-4, 2 HR, 3 R, 2 RBI, BB.

Jorge Polanco also had a double-dong game on Saturday, helping the Mariners beat up on the Marlins 14-0. Polanco is having a strange season when you pop the hood. His Statcast page is blood red in all the right places, including the best Hard Hit rate (51.9%) and Barrel rate (14.8%) of his career. He cut his K% more than half from 29.3% to 13.8%, but his BB% cratered from 9.8% to 3.1%. Is this a new Polanco? Unclear. The switch-hitter is not able to hit right-handed as he recovers from an injury, which keeps him out of the lineup some days. But when he does play, he’s crushing the ball from the two-hole, hitting four homers in the last three games he started. Make sure he’s in your starting lineup.

Jackson Chourio (MIL): 4-5, 2B, HR, R, 3 RBI.

While fantasy owners are happy to see Jackson Chourio hit his sixth home run of the season, they are still waiting for the stolen bases to come for the young star, as he only has two steals on the season. His biggest roadblock to stealing right now is his inability to take a walk. His 1.7% walk rate is in the bottom three percent of the league, and down from his 6.8% walk rate last year. You can’t really use your 95th percentile spring speed if you can’t get on base. All arrows are still pointing up for Chourio, who just put together a decent slash line of .323/.344/.516 over the last week.

Zach Neto (LAA): 3-4, HR, R, RBI, 3 SB.

Another reminder to fantasy owners: Zach Neto is back! Get him on your rosters (66% rostered on Yahoo!) and in your starting lineups! After making his season debut last weekend, Neto hit his third home run of the season (and week!), and swiped three (!) bags on Saturday. His early Statcast numbers look great, especially his 95.8 mph average exit velocity and 16.7% Barrel rate. After batting seventh for his first three games, Neto has been hitting out of the two-hole for his last five games between Jorge Soler and Mike Trout.

Nolan Arenado (STL): 1-4, HR, R, RBI, BB.

Nolan Arenado was the walk-off hero for the Cardinals, hitting a game-winning solo shot off Trevor Megill in the bottom of the ninth against the Brewers. Arenado was having a strong start to the 2025 season relative to his projections, but has cooled off lately. One interesting area of strength this season for Arenado has been his K%. After striking out 14.5% of the time last season, and never lower than 10.0% in a season, he’s only striking out 6.7% of the time in 2025, which is in the top 2% of the league. His Hard Hit rate, though, continues to drop, currently at 28.9%, the worst of his career. It’s anybody’s guess if he’ll hit 20 home runs in 2025 when all is said and done.

Riley Greene (DET): 2-7, HR, R, 3 RBI, BB.

Riley Greene had quite a day on Saturday, hitting his fourth homer of 2025 and robbing the Orioles of a homer as well. Greene is having a rough start to the season (.233/.282/.398), which is frustrating for fantasy owners expecting a breakout from the young Tigers’ star. The season is still young, but it looks like Greene has a lot of work to do with all the blue on his Statcast page, especially his career-high 33 K% (sixth-worst in the league), his career-low 5.9 BB%, and his .263 xwOBA, which is in the bottom 10% of the league.

Brandon Lowe (TBR): 1-4, HR, 2 R, RBI, BB.

While Brandon Lowe is also having a slow start to the season, he hit his fourth HR of 2025 against the Padres on Saturday. Many were bought into Lowe as a sleeper who could use his pull power to right field as an advantage to hit short porch homers at Tampa’s temporary ballpark, modeled after Yankee Stadium. The season is still young, and Florida is still heating up. Interestingly enough, this homer was an oppo-taco on the road. Power is rare at the 2B position, so be patient and hold Lowe. He’ll likely have 25 homers by season’s end.

Michael Toglia (COL): 2-4, HR, R, 2 RBI.

After a three-RBI game on Friday, Michael Toglia hit a two-run shot off Reds ace Hunter Greene on Saturday. Tolgia was a popular sleeper pick in draft season, and those who took a chance on him are happy to see him start to heat up (.348/.400/.522 in his last seven games). Now might be the time to jump back on, especially with three more games at Coors next week. He still needs to cut down on the strikeouts, as his 40.9 K% is second-worst in the league behind Christopher Morel’s 41.5%. He won’t last on the Rockies’ MLB roster, let alone your fantasy team roster, if he doesn’t lower that number.

Francisco Alvarez (NYM): 1-4, HR, R, 2 RBI.

After missing the beginning of the season due to a fractured left hand he suffered in spring training, Francisco Alvarez only needed five at-bats and two games to hit his first home run of the year, muscling out an oppo-taco against the Nationals. Check the wire, especially if you’re having trouble finding consistent play at catcher, as he’s only 32% rostered in Yahoo! leagues, and he should be able to pop 20 homers this season if he stays healthy.

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