Seahawks fans were prepared for changes this offseason. It was no surprise when the team released defensive linemen Dre’Mont Jones and Roy Robertson-Harris, safety Rayshawn Jenkins and offensive tackle George Fant on Tuesday, moves that freed up $27 million in cap space. And while Tyler Lockett is a franchise icon, fans probably expected the organization to move on from the wideout Wednesday, creating $17 million in additional savings.
What happened next was much more surprising. Less than an hour after the Lockett news broke, ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported that fellow wide receiver DK Metcalf also wanted out. Entering the final year of his contract, the 27-year-old wide receiver has requested a trade out of Seattle, hoping to be sent to a contender. What was a big three with Lockett, Metcalf and Jaxon Smith-Njigba could be down to a big one if Metcalf gets his wish.
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Is this it for Metcalf in Seattle? What can the Seahawks expect to get in return? And, given his desire to play for a contender and what would likely include a new contract, which teams should be in the market for a Metcalf deal? Let’s answer these three questions to evaluate what’s next.
There’s one more question, though, and it seems like the right place to start from Seattle’s perspective:
Jump to a section:
Wait, shouldn’t Seattle just pay Metcalf?
What could the Seahawks get for him?
10 potential landing spots in a trade
Should the Seahawks trade Metcalf?
No, I’d argue they shouldn’t. Now that they’ve cut wideout Tyler Lockett (and a handful of defenders), the Seahawks have both a clear need for Metcalf and the financial flexibility to get their star receiver a new contract. In fact, they would almost certainly free up more cap space by signing him to an extension. Metcalf has an $18 million unguaranteed base salary due for the final year of his deal in 2025, but owing to how Seattle structured his extension and then restructured the deal in later years, he has a $31.9 million cap hit this year.
Whether it comes from the Seahawks or another team, Metcalf is going to land a new contract over the next 12 months. Any team trading for him would probably sign him to a deal at the time of the trade, while the Seahawks could get a new contract done this offseason or after the 2025 season. General manager John Schneider could also use the franchise tag next year to keep Metcalf through 2026 and even in 2027, although Metcalf is surely hoping to avoid the tag.
I would be surprised if Metcalf landed a market-resetting deal north of the $35 million-per-year pact Justin Jefferson signed with the Vikings last June. He just hasn’t been that caliber of player. He has a high floor, but he has topped 1,115 yards once in six years and made two Pro Bowls. I can respect an argument that Metcalf might have produced better numbers in a different offense or with a more spectacular set of quarterbacks, but it’s tough to make the case he’s worth a deal approaching $40 million per year.
Now, $30 million per year doesn’t seem out of the question. Tyreek Hill‘s three-year, $90 million extension seems like a logical comparable, while former college teammate A.J. Brown signed a three-year, $96 million deal with the Eagles. Both of those contracts came a year ago, when the cap was $255.4 million. With the cap jumping to $279.2 million in 2025, it seems reasonable for Metcalf to expect something in this ballpark on a new contract.
A four-year, $128 million deal would make sense, with $75 million guaranteed at the time of signing between 2025 and 2026. In addition to the $18 million Metcalf is due in 2025 and the various bonuses the Seahawks have to account for, his cap hit would drop by $7.5 million in 2025, creating a little more room for the franchise in which to operate:
YearBase
SalarySigning
BonusOption
BonusPrior Bonus
ProrationCap
Hit2025$2.5 million$8 million$0$13.875 million$24.375 million2026$12.5 million$8 million$5 million$0$25.5 million2026$18 million$8 million$5 million$0$31 million2028$23 million$8 million$5 million$0$36 million2029$30 million$8 million$5 million$0$43 million
This would be a reasonable deal for both sides. Metcalf’s camp hinted that he wants to play for a contender as part of the trade request, but shouldn’t the Seahawks be considered contenders? They went 10-7, missing out on the divisional title with the Rams because of a tiebreaker. (Admittedly, they won that 10th game against a Rams team that was sitting its starters in Week 18.) They don’t have an elite quarterback, but Geno Smith has greatly exceeded expectations in his two seasons as the starter.
I’d also expect Seattle’s defense to improve in 2025. Mike Macdonald’s Ravens defense made a massive leap from Year 1 to Year 2, jumping from 13th in expected points added (EPA) per play to second. In 2024, the Seahawks ranked ninth in EPA per play. With another year to mold the personnel to his liking and get his holdovers more familiar with the scheme, Macdonald could coax more improvement. Doing so would make a return to the playoffs even more likely next season.
How much could the Seahawks get for Metcalf?
Not as much as Seahawks fans might hope. There have been wide receivers who have landed first-round picks in trades over the past few years, including Stefon Diggs (with a seventh-round pick for first-, fifth- and sixth-round picks) in 2020, Davante Adams (first- and second-round picks) in 2022 and Tyreek Hill (five picks, including first- and second-round selections) in 2022. It’s difficult to imagine Seahawks fans being satisfied with anything short of a first-round pick for Metcalf, if not more.
Those comps might be aggressive. Diggs was entering his age-27 season when the Bills acquired him from Minnesota, and he was in the middle of a team-friendly contract. Metcalf is entering his age-28 season and will require a new contract in the next 12 months. Hill was at the same point of his career, but the fleet-footed wideout had been named first-team All-Pro twice with Kansas City before he joined the Dolphins. And while Adams was two years older, he was coming off back-to-back first-team All-Pro nods in Green Bay when he was sent to the Raiders.
Metcalf has averaged just under 66 receiving yards per game over the past three years, which is in line with what Diggs (68.2) produced over his final three years in Minnesota. It’s still well behind what Hill (76.7) and Adams (93.4) generated over their last three seasons before being traded. Metcalf’s 2.0 yards per route run ranks 33rd among wideouts over the past three seasons, which is good, certainly, but he’s immediately below the production of Christian Kirk, who was just made a cap casualty by Jacksonville.
Admittedly, some allowance needs to be made for the quality of quarterback play involved. Metcalf wasn’t catching passes from Patrick Mahomes or the last MVP-caliber version of Aaron Rodgers. Metcalf’s camp is probably projecting that he could have produced something closer to Hill’s or Adams’ performance with the Chiefs or Packers, respectively. But Metcalf’s only second-team All-Pro appearance came in 2020, five seasons ago. Anyone who has seen him knows he’s capable of the spectacular, but his production has been more solidly consistent than great in recent years.
play
Chiefs, Cowboys or Steelers: Where could DK Metcalf end up?
Harry Douglas, Adam Schefter and Damien Woody discuss teams that should go after DK Metcalf.
Combining the performance with Metcalf’s age and need for a new deal, it’s tough to see the Seahawks landing a first-rounder and multiple other selections as part of a trade. There are just going to be too many veteran wideouts available in free agency as more cap casualties come in over the next week, and the gulf between the top of the receiver market and rookie contracts has never been wider.
Rookie deals aren’t a sure thing, but the bar for success when trading significant draft capital and handing out a new deal for a player is extremely high. Forgoing those picks and not getting access to cost-controlled talent is a subtle way to hurt a franchise. Let’s say the Chargers sent the No. 22 and No. 121 picks to the Seahawks for Metcalf and signed him to a four-year, $128 million contract. Per Ben Baldwin’s draft chart, those two selections alone are worth $12.1 million per year.
Add that to the value of the proposed Metcalf contract and acquiring him would cost the Chargers more than $44 million per season, significantly more than the Jefferson deal and well ahead of any other non-quarterback. It’s not impossible to imagine Metcalf being worth it if he’s a superstar wideout, but anything short of first-team All-Pro appearances would make the deal a disappointment.
As with any potential trade, the draft compensation would have to be adjusted for the team in question and where it picks in Round 1. It’s a lot easier to envision a trade in which the Commanders (who own the No. 29 selection) send a first-round pick to the Seahawks for Metcalf than it would be for the Patriots (who own the No. 4 selection).
My best estimation is the Seahawks would be able to land something close to the draft capital of a pick in the 40s as part of a trade. That might mean getting a first-round pick and sending something back alongside him in return or landing a selection toward the top of the second round. Metcalf is a special enough talent to justify teams treating him as more valuable than Kirk and Cooper Kupp in free agency, but he’s not as young as Diggs and A.J. Brown or as productive as Adams and Hill were when they were traded for first-round picks.
Metcalf’s potential landing spots in a trade
It takes just one team to see Metcalf as a transformative talent to decide it’s going to be comfortable offering much more. There will undoubtedly be several teams that have internal conversations about whether they should make a move. Given his desire for a new contract and to play for a contender, though, there will be only a handful of teams that lend themselves to making a meaningful offer.
Let’s run through the 10 teams (in alphabetical order) that should be most interested in a potential Metcalf deal and why it would make sense for them to pick up the phone:
Buffalo Bills
One year after trading away Diggs, the guy who was supposed to be their No. 1 receiver, the Bills could restore that sort of player to their roster by trading for Metcalf. Adding him would give Buffalo a physicality it doesn’t have in its receiving corps, a role it tried to fill by trading a third-round pick for Amari Cooper at midseason. Cooper never found his footing, but Metcalf would have a full offseason to bed into the Bills’ lineup.
The problem for the Bills might be financial. General manager Brandon Beane just signed Khalil Shakir to a four-year, $53 million contract last month, locking the 25-year-old into the starting lineup for the next couple of seasons. The franchise is on the hook for nearly all of Curtis Samuel‘s $6.9 million base salary in 2025. And even after it designates edge rusher Von Miller as a post-June 1 release, it will be only about $7.7 million under the cap while still needing to address the defensive line and the secondary.
The Bills also still hold plenty of optimism for 2024 second-round pick Keon Coleman, who averaged 1.9 yards per route run as a rookie and won’t turn 22 until May. It wouldn’t be a surprise if Schneider asked for Coleman as part of the potential return in a Metcalf deal. A one-for-one swap probably would be weighed too heavily toward the Seahawks, but Coleman and a Day 3 pick might be fair value.
After the Shakir extension, I’d be surprised if the Bills made a move for a wide receiver who will make as much as Metcalf will on his next contract. But stranger things have happened.
Denver Broncos
Unlike the Bills, the Broncos have the sort of roster that would more easily accommodate Metcalf. They have a quarterback on a rookie deal in Bo Nix, who is in the middle of a four-year, $18.6 million contract. The only playmaker on the offense who isn’t on a rookie contract is 30-year-old wide receiver Courtland Sutton, who is entering the final year of his extension and is due $14 million in non-guaranteed money.
Coach Sean Payton has almost always had a receiver in his offenses who thrived with physicality and catch radius. In New Orleans, that guy was Marques Colston, Jimmy Graham or Michael Thomas, who won so often on in-breaking routes that former Bucs corner Carlton Davis derogatorily referred to him as “slant boy.” Nix went just 33-of-65 for 691 yards with a touchdown, two picks and a 61.8 passer rating on slants and in routes last season, per NFL Next Gen Stats. Metcalf has the potential to play that role and give Nix a playmaker over the middle of the field.
The issue for the Broncos, instead, is draft capital. They didn’t have first-round picks in 2022 or 2023, had to trade up to get into the second round of the 2023 draft and didn’t have a second-rounder in 2024, all as a result of the trades for Payton and Russell Wilson. They’ll be out from under the cap implications of the Wilson trade after this season, but they are going to be feeling the impact of the missing draft picks on their roster for years to come.
Would they be aggressive in shipping off more draft capital to the Seahawks to land Metcalf? The 2021 Raiders are an example of a team that made an unexpected playoff run, cashed in their draft chips to add a star wide receiver (Adams) in the hopes of competing with the Chiefs, and ended up regretting the move.
Green Bay Packers
Well, you can guess how Josh Jacobs feels about the possibility. The former Raiders running back, who was on that very team that traded for Adams, said this offseason that the Packers need “a guy that’s proven to be a [No. 1 receiver] already.” That exact decision didn’t exactly work out great for Vegas when Jacobs was there, but it’s fair to say that last year’s Packers were a much better team than Las Vegas’ 2022 and 2023 squads.
Metcalf would give the Packers an immediate replacement for Christian Watson, who has seen his promising career hampered by injuries, most recently a torn ACL suffered in the Week 18 loss to the Bears. Watson, comfortably the biggest wide receiver on Green Bay’s roster at 6-foot-4, might not be ready to start the 2025 season on the active roster. With the 25-year-old entering the final year of his rookie deal, the Packers might also try to trade him as part of a Metcalf deal, which would leave them with Metcalf and Romeo Doubs on the outside and Jayden Reed in the slot. They could also look to involve cornerback Jaire Alexander, who could be traded and might appeal to Macdonald.
On the other hand, a Metcalf move would be entirely out of character for Packers general manager Brian Gutekunst. In six seasons, the only times he has traded picks for veteran players have been moving Day 3 picks for Corey Bojorquez, Malik Willis and Randall Cobb. The Packers hold onto their premium picks, and Gutekunst places more of a priority on young talent than any other general manager. (Note that his big free agent signings last offseason, Jacobs and Xavier McKinney, were both in their age-26 seasons.) Metcalf isn’t old, but Green Bay would be giving up valuable picks and paying out a significant deal for a player as he approaches 30. That doesn’t seem in line with how the organization philosophically approaches its roster, but maybe Gutekunst feels the need to take a big swing.
Houston Texans
If you don’t succeed, try again? The Texans tried to make a big move for a veteran wideout last offseason, as general manager Nick Caserio sent a second-round pick to the Bills to acquire Diggs. Houston voided the rest of his deal to keep him interested and motivated in a contract year. Diggs was efficient during his stint with the Texans, but a torn ACL ended the four-time Pro Bowler’s season in October. It’s unclear whether Diggs, who is set to be an unrestricted free agent, will return.
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Tank Dell‘s long-term status is also sadly uncertain after the second-year wideout suffered a multi-ligament injury in December. With Dell sidelined indefinitely, there’s an opening next to star wideout Nico Collins. We’ve seen the Texans get aggressive in attempting to add talent for C.J. Stroud, who still has two more years on his rookie deal and a fifth-year option to come. Even if they sign their quarterback to an extension after the 2025 season as expected, the runway afforded by the rookie deal should allow them to spend more on their roster in 2026 and 2027.
A year ago, though, the Texans were wildly optimistic about what their offense could be. A year later, with Collins having earned a significant (but still team-friendly) extension, it feels like Caserio needs to focus his efforts and resources elsewhere. Stroud was overwhelmed at times behind a dismal offensive line in 2024, one which shut down the Houston running game, led to too many sacks and eventually saw Stroud leave the playoff loss to the Chiefs with an injury. With coordinator Bobby Slowik replaced by former Rams assistant Nick Caley, I wouldn’t be shocked if the Texans were looking at potentially adding Cooper Kupp, who won’t cost as much as Metcalf and won’t require draft pick compensation if he hits the open market. Caserio needs to devote the bulk of his cap space to fixing the offensive line, not adding a second wide receiver.
Kansas City Chiefs
This would be juicy. The Chiefs also have offensive line issues after trading away guard Joe Thuney earlier this week, but general manager Brett Veach might be confident he can draft and develop linemen on the interior and add a veteran tackle in free agency. With Travis Kelce dropping to last in ESPN’s Receiver Scores and additions such as Marquise Brown and DeAndre Hopkins failing to sustain their impact, the Chiefs were essentially down to rookie first-rounder Xavier Worthy as their only reliable receiver in the Super Bowl. You saw how that went.
The forgotten man here is Rashee Rice, who injured his knee in October and missed the rest of the season. His presence would seem to render a Metcalf move unlikely. Rice and Worthy could be a dynamic one-two punch and would cost peanuts, given that they’re both on rookie deals for a couple more years. It seems clear the Chiefs have deliberately attempted to find low-cost options at receiver in the years after trading Hill, preferring to spend money on their offensive line and at tight end.
Of course, coach Andy Reid is entirely capable of changing course if he thinks it’s worth a swing. He knows the impact of adding a star receiver, having made it to the Super Bowl in 2004 after the Eagles acquired Terrell Owens. Reid sent a first-round pick to the Bills in 2009 for Jason Peters and landed a cornerstone left tackle. And when nobody suspected that the Chiefs were up to something big in 2017, they moved up from No. 27 to No. 10 and drafted Patrick Mahomes in 2017. That turned out OK.
Think back to the 2007 Patriots. After a frustrating end to their 2006 season at the hands of the Broncos, Bill Belichick could have stayed the course and tried to make that version of his team better. Instead, they changed philosophies: They traded for Randy Moss and Wes Welker, signed Donte’ Stallworth, leaned into the spread and had one of the best offensive seasons the league has ever seen. Could the Chiefs do that with Metcalf, Rice, Worthy and Brown, with Kelce playing in a part-time role? Probably not, but it’s fun to think about.
Las Vegas Raiders
If Metcalf wants familiarity, he’ll find it in Las Vegas. It’s easy to link any former Seahawks player to the Raiders after they hired Pete Carroll as their new coach. They have nearly $96 million in cap space pending the terms of Maxx Crosby‘s massive new extension and Gardner Minshew‘s release, so money wouldn’t be an issue. Metcalf would get to sign a deal in a state with no income tax, which only adds more to the bottom line. On the field, he would fit perfectly on the outside alongside slot receiver Jakobi Meyers and star tight end Brock Bowers. All of this is great.
The only problem? The Raiders don’t have a quarterback, which means they don’t fit the “contender” angle Metcalf is looking for as part of a trade. They ranked 30th in Total QBR last season, and Aidan O’Connell is the top signal-caller on the current roster. They will add someone this offseason, but there aren’t any obvious solutions available. They ranked17th in defensive EPA per play, which is respectable, but five of their 11 starters are free agents, including their two best young defensive backs in Tre’von Moehrig and Nate Hobbs.
Going to the Raiders would be a leap of faith. Maybe Metcalf believes Carroll can push the defense forward quickly. If they hit on a quarterback such as Cam Ward or Shedeur Sanders in the draft, there have been moribund teams that have turned things around quickly, with the 2023 Texans and 2024 Commanders as obvious recent examples. I’ve repeatedly argued that this organization needs to be realistic about how brutal the Jon Gruden and Josh McDaniels eras were to their roster and commit to a serious retooling, but why would the Raiders start listening now?
Los Angeles Chargers
Does Jim Harbaugh value receivers? More than you might think. His 49ers teams from 2011 to 2014 weren’t exactly throwing the ball around like they were the Chiefs, but he kept around Michael Crabtree, who was a valuable big body for quarterbacks Alex Smith and Colin Kaepernick in the passing game. He signed a 35-year-old Randy Moss after the legendary wideout had spent a year out of football. If a receiver is physical and can make a difference, Harbaugh might think he can be a valuable part of his offense.
The Chargers, to put it mildly, haven’t had that physicality on the outside since Mike Williams tore his ACL in 2023. Quentin Johnston took made some strides in 2024, but drops and inconsistency continue to plague the 2023 first-round pick. Ladd McConkey excelled in his rookie season, but he is primarily an option out of the slot. Metcalf would be the classic “X” receiver Justin Herbert doesn’t have in this offense as currently constructed.
While Herbert is making $60 million next year, the Chargers have committed just $56.3 million in cash to the rest of their offense, the fifth-lowest figure of any team. They need to find a new interior lineman, a running back and a third wide receiver, but general manager Joe Hortiz & Co. haven’t invested a ton of cash around Herbert so far. A big swing on Metcalf would give him the most explosive receiver he has had and be a major upgrade on Johnston. It would be a little out of character for the former Michigan coach, but not as much as one might think.
New England Patriots
Like the Raiders, the Patriots can’t satisfy the competitive prerequisite for Metcalf. They finished 4-13 last season, fired everyone and hired Mike Vrabel as their coach. They have the league’s worst offensive infrastructure, and just about anybody they add this offseason would qualify as an upgrade on who they ran out at receiver and on the offensive line in 2024. Adding Metcalf would be like buying a great set of snow tires for a car with no engine.
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Unlike the Raiders, the Patriots have a quarterback who might be enticing to Metcalf (two, if you watched what Joe Milton did in Week 18). Drake Maye spent most of his rookie season running for his life, but the third overall pick showed plenty of promise. With Maye on a bargain deal for years to come, New England has plenty of resources to add talent around him. Nobody should or would outbid them financially on a Metcalf deal.
The other guy who knows the value of having an alpha wide receiver is Vrabel, who was caught bemoaning life as the Titans traded A.J. Brown to the Eagles on draft day in 2022. The Titans never seemed to recover from losing their star wideout, as Treylon Burks wasn’t able to live up to expectations as Brown’s replacement. After Brown racked up 119 yards and two touchdowns in a win over his old team, the Titans fired general manager Jon Robinson. Vrabel followed him out the door the following year. Trading Brown didn’t sink the Titans singlehandedly, but lowballing him in contract negotiations and trading him for a player who didn’t pan out set their offense back. Vrabel is not going to be naive enough to make that mistake again.
Pittsburgh Steelers
If Metcalf is going to leave Seattle, why not leave for its East Coast equivalent? Since 2017, the Steelers have gone 80-50-2 (.613) and won zero playoff games. Over that same time frame, the Seahawks have gone 77-55 (.583) and won one playoff game, which came when the Eagles lost Carson Wentz to an injury in the first quarter and had a 40-year-old Josh McCown playing quarterback with a torn hamstring for three quarters. The two teams have combined to post one losing season over that stretch. They are just good enough to be competitive and never good enough to seriously compete for a title.
The Steelers would benefit more from Metcalf’s presence than their counterparts. They have fielded a dominant defense for most of that stretch, only for the offense to repeatedly let them down. (Even when they have scored loads of points in playoff games, as they did against the Jaguars in 2017 and the Browns in 2020, it has come after the offense repeatedly turned the ball over early on to help gift the opposing team a lead.) With the organization looking at the quarterback position and seemingly shrugging its shoulders for the past few years, one way to try to improve the offense would be to add a key receiver on the outside in Metcalf, the sort of player who would make any passer better.
This would also be out of character for the Steelers, who have spent the past 15 years thriving with midround picks such as Mike Wallace, Antonio Brown, Diontae Johnson and George Pickens serving as lead wideouts. When they have imported veteran wideouts, it has usually come in the form of low-cost additions such as Allen Robinson and Van Jefferson, not headline-makers like Metcalf.
Of course, after eight years without a playoff win and a dramatic collapse at the end of 2024, it might be time for Pittsburgh to reconsider its philosophical choices. It seemed to grow sick of Pickens, who missed three games and struggled badly with drops at the end of the season. The 2022 second-round pick is now entering the final year of his rookie deal. Would the Steelers try to trade Pickens to the Seahawks in a challenge deal for Metcalf? And, given the success rate of Steelers wideouts after leaving coach Mike Tomlin, would the Seahawks be brave enough to take on that risk?
Washington Commanders
Let’s finish up with the Commanders, who might have loved to hear about this news a week ago. They traded a fifth-round pick to the 49ers for Deebo Samuel while taking on the veteran’s full $17.5 million commitment for 2025. I don’t mind the on-field fit, but it was a lot to pay for a player San Francisco was probably going to cut and one who has hit 900 receiving yards in a season once in six years as a pro.
Metcalf has been at or above 900 receiving yards in each of his six seasons, and he is a little under two years younger than Samuel. Of course, he’s also going to be more expensive, both in terms of trade compensation and his coming contract extension. But given that the Commanders had plenty of cap space and a clear need for another receiver alongside Terry McLaurin, I would have argued they would have been the best possible landing spot for Metcalf in a potential trade before the Samuel deal.
Could they still justify it? Maybe. Samuel is in the final year of his contract, and the Commanders could simply choose to let him play out that deal and move on after the season, but I don’t think he would respond well to seeing the them trade for Metcalf while giving the former Seahawks wideout a significant new pact in the process. It also seems like Washington would be better off devoting most of its remaining resources to its defense, which was the weaker side of the ball a year ago.
So, which team should trade for Metcalf?
Again, I’d argue that the Seahawks should keep their star receiver and dare him to turn down a new contract. Letting him play out the final year of his existing deal and franchise tagging him twice would cost them $81.3 million over the next three years without needing to commit to a long-term deal, albeit at the expense of upsetting one of the team’s best players and eliminating the leverage of using the tag on other players. The deal I posted earlier had Metcalf at $93 million over three years, most of which was fully guaranteed at the time of signing. Would Metcalf really turn that down?
Running through the league, though, my two favorite landing spots for Metcalf are with the Broncos and Packers. Denver has a need for a more physical top receiver with a quarterback on a rookie deal. And in Green Bay, as talented as different elements of that receiving corps looked from week to week, the wideouts added up to something less than the sum of its parts. With Watson and Doubs a year away from free agency and Reed coming up the following season, the Packers are going to end up paying at least one of their pass catchers soon. Why not pay Metcalf and use one of those wideouts to help acquire him?
