Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 30

Data Skrive

Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets will hit the field on Wednesday at Citi Field against Corbin Burnes, who is starting for the Arizona Diamondbacks. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Diamondbacks are -112 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Mets (-104). Arizona is a 1.5-run favorite (at +146 odds). The over/under for the matchup has been listed at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the best moments between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and ARID

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Diamondbacks -112 -104 8 -110 -110 -1.5 +146 -178

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 4, Diamondbacks 3
Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 58%, Mets 42%

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Betting Insights

The Diamondbacks have won 11, or 52.4%, of the 21 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
Arizona has a record of 11-10 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -112 on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in seven games this year and have walked away with the win four times (57.1%) in those games.
This season, New York has come away with a win three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 51% chance of walking away with the win.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks have a 1-4 record across the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Diamondbacks combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total eight times.
The Diamondbacks are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 3-7 Runs Per Game 4.9 HR 14 ERA 5.32 K/9 8.1

Diamondbacks Player Insights

The Diamondbacks RBI leader this season is Corbin Carroll, who has driven in 23 runs while hitting .298 with nine home runs.
Carroll is third in homers and 12th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Geraldo Perdomo has five doubles, four home runs and 21 walks while hitting .260.
Including all major league batters, Perdomo is 66th in homers and 16th in RBI.
Perdomo carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a double, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
Josh Naylor is batting .318 with eight doubles, four home runs and 13 walks.
Eugenio Suarez has hit 10 home runs to lead his team.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+115) – 0.5 (+135) Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+160) – 0.5 (+265) Corbin Carroll 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+130) – 0.5 (+175) Tim Tawa 0.5 (-155) 0.5 (-160) – 0.5 (+190) Randal Grichuk 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-135) – 0.5 (+195)

Mets Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Mets have been underdogs twice and won both contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Mets have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 8-2 Runs Per Game 6.4 HR 14 ERA 3.02 K/9 9

Mets Player Insights

Pete Alonso leads the Mets with seven home runs and 28 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .346.
In all of the big leagues, Alonso ranks 19th in home runs and second in RBI.
Alonso carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .375 with a home run, six walks and two RBI.
Lindor is hitting .302 with four doubles, six home runs and eight walks.
Lindor is 29th among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 44th in RBI.
Juan Soto is hitting .250 with seven doubles, three home runs and 22 walks.
Brandon Nimmo is batting .218 with four doubles, six home runs and seven walks.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U Pete Alonso 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+120) – 0.5 (+120) Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+140) – 0.5 (+210) Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-135) – 0.5 (+265) Mark Vientos 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-165) – 0.5 (+165) Luisangel Acuna 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-155) – 0.5 (+310)

Check out the best moments between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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