First Atlantic hurricane of 2025 possible this week

BRYAN, Texas (KBTX) – The average “peak” of hurricane season may not be until September, but August is right up there for Atlantic activity, and we’re watching a couple different areas as we move into a new week.

One wave we’ve had our eye on since last week, Invest AL96, continues a northward movement through the open Atlantic. From there, after battling some dry air, we may get a developed system, but an eventual northeastward curve is expected, giving us little worry for US impacts.

Watching two potential areas of development in the Atlantic Basin.(KBTX)

The more formidable wave near the Cabo Verde Islands is the reason for the headline above – this tropical wave is about to move into the “friendliest” waters we have seen so far this season.

As of Sunday, said tropical wave looks to continue to move west-northwestward and organize. Exactly how much and WHERE this system goes is very much in question. There has been a northward trend in model data Sunday morning, which would mean a less likely US impact, but it’s far too early to call this one a “fish storm”. Model data will become a lot more reliable once the system gains a closed, organized circulation over the next day or so.

As we navigate the next two months, expect regular tropical updates from the First Alert Weather Team.

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