2025 BNP Paribas Open: Watanuki [349th] vs. Tiafoe [17th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

Yosuke Watanuki (No. 349 ranking) will face Frances Tiafoe (No. 17) in the Round of 32 of the BNP Paribas Open on Sunday, March 9.

Tiafoe is favored over Watanuki for this match, with -250 odds against the the underdog’s +190.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Sunday at 10:35 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Yosuke Watanuki vs. Frances Tiafoe matchup info

  • Tournament: BNP Paribas Open
  • Round: Round of 32
  • Date: Sunday, March 9
  • Court Surface: Hard

Watch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo!Watanuki vs. Tiafoe Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Watanuki has a 71.4% to win.

Watanuki vs. Tiafoe Betting Odds

  • Watanuki’s odds to win match: +190
  • Tiafoe’s odds to win match: -250
  • Watanuki’s odds to win tournament: +15000
  • Tiafoe’s odds to win tournament: +4000

Watanuki vs. Tiafoe matchup performance & stats

  • Watanuki is 6-7 on hard courts over the past year.
  • Watanuki has won 23.5% of his return games on hard courts over the past year, and 76.0% of his service games.
  • Watanuki has converted 36.1% of his break-point chances on hard courts (30 of 83) over the past year.
  • Watanuki was beaten in the Qualification Round 1 of his most recent tournament (the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships) 3-6, 3-6 by No. 102-ranked Pavel Kotov on February 22.
  • Tiafoe has not won a title on hard courts over the past 12 months, posting a 21-16 record on that surface.
  • On hard courts, Tiafoe has an 81.4% winning percentage in service games and a 20.8% winning percentage in return games.
  • On hard courts Tiafoe is 95-for-268 on break points, 35.4%, which ranks 19th.
  • In the Round of 16 of his last tournament (the Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC) on February 26, Tiafoe was eliminated by No. 48-ranked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 3-6, 7-6, 3-6.

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